Stocks To Trade
Oct. 9, 20256 min read

When Confidence Becomes Your Greatest Enemy

Tim BohenAvatar
Written by Tim Bohen

Every trader has faced a quiet instant before things go wrong.

You think you see the pattern, the setup, the move that just makes sense…

And then, almost without realizing it, you’ve talked yourself into a trap.

If this is you, you need to join my friend and veteran trader Tim Sykes for his FREE Emergency Millionaire Trader Conference on October 21st and 22nd.





If you’ve ever wanted to understand how traders successfully catch the explosive moves before they happen, this is your chance!

Reserve your FREE spot right away!

Or

If you want a GUARANTEED seat… the VIP option locks you in. Plus bonuses!

Many times, when traders get stuck, it’s not because they don’t have enough information, but because they’re thinking about the market the wrong way.

The Market Doesn’t Owe You Logic

Legendary economist John Maynard Keynes once said, “The market can remain irrational longer than you can stay solvent.”

It’s one of the most painful truths in trading, especially for short sellers.

Too many traders step in front of a roaring stock, certain it’s “gone too high.” They short it anyway, hoping to nail the top…

Wrong move. That’s just gambling.

The moment you let emotion take control, you’ve already lost the battle.

Why Fighting the Trend Is a Losing Game

I spent more than a decade as a short seller, and while I was profitable, that was during a very different time.

Back then, the financial crisis rewarded bearish setups. Today’s market doesn’t play that way.

The rule that never changes throughout time?

Never step in front of a trend.

Just like Newton’s Law of Inertia: “An object in motion stays in motion…”

Strong stocks tend to stay strong. Weak stocks tend to stay weak.

I know better than anyone that fast-moving runners often keep running and can go much higher than most expect.

This is what I continue to see on Monday mornings. Good thing, I’ve figured out how to catch them ahead of time.

If you’re not already using my setup, listen up!

Every Monday, the market kicks back into gear after its weekend nap… and that reset creates a unique opportunity.

As the first session of the week gets started, there’s a specific pattern we look for that appears again and again with uncanny consistency.

And it has delivered some unbelievable gains!

Case in point: this past Monday…

Leap Therapeutics (NASDAQ: LPTX) shot up over 500%* on the announcement of its new digital asset strategy.

We hunt for these kinds of Monday morning spikes every single week.

It’s time to learn how to spot them for yourself

Watch the video below for the full trade breakdown and strategy tutorial on my Monday Setup.

The Turtle Trader Experiment

Maybe you’ve heard about The Turtle Trader Experiment, one of the most famous experiments in trading history.

If you haven’t, here’s what happened…

Back in the early 80s, legendary commodities trader Richard Dennis wanted to prove a point.

He believed great traders could be trained. However, his friend, William Eckhardt, disagreed, arguing that trading success came from innate talent.

To settle the debate, Dennis recruited a group of ordinary people, some of whom had never placed a trade before, and taught them his simple trend-following system.

They were called “Turtles,” inspired by a turtle farm Dennis had seen in Singapore, where turtles were bred quickly and in large numbers.

The Turtles were given strict rules: no guessing, no opinions, just systems like:

  • Buy when the price breaks above a certain level
  • Sell short when the price breaks below a certain level
  • Risk only a small amount of capital per trade
  • Cut losses quickly

They weren’t supposed to predict the market, just follow it.

And it worked… spectacularly, in fact.

Many Turtles turned small accounts into millions and went on to manage their own funds.

Dennis proved that discipline and process beat talent and emotion every time.

If you want to dig deeper into this, check out Tim Sykes’ excellent piece on the Turtle Traders experiment.

Why Traders Keep Fighting the Trend

The weird irony is that most traders want to be right more than they want to make money.

That’s why so many short strong stocks or buy into weak ones. That’s not a strategy. That’s ego.

If they shorted a stock, they’re shouting at their screens, “This thing shouldn’t be going higher!”

And if they took a long position, it’s, “This stock isn’t supposed to fail!!”

But guess what… the market doesn’t care what you think.

It doesn’t hear you. It doesn’t negotiate. It just moves. And if you fight it, you’ll get crushed.

The Framework That Removes Emotion

If you want to strip emotion from your trading, keep it simple:

Buy strength: Strong stocks with strong volume and strong stories attract buyers, period.

Sell weakness: If a stock in your portfolio starts breaking down, don’t rationalize. Cut it loose and move on.

Short weakness: If you’re a short seller, wait for the backside of the move. Short into weakness, not strength.

Most traders lose because they overcomplicate what doesn’t need to be complicated.

My Final Thoughts…

After more than 20 years in the markets, I’ve seen the same mistake over and over — traders fighting the natural flow because they think they know better.

You don’t need to predict every move, and you don’t need to call absolute tops or bottoms….

You just need to respect momentum and follow the trend.

The market’s always right. Remember that!

So next time you feel the urge to fight it, stop and ask yourself, “Am I trying to make money, or just prove I’m smarter than the market?”

That one question could save your account.

Have a great weekend, everyone. See you back here on Monday.

Tim Bohen

Lead Trainer, StocksToTrade

P.S.

Do you know how to play the PR game?

Build your watchlist the smart way.

Day trading isn’t hard, but here’s what you need to know first



The Game is Rigged

But Our Algo Has Leveled the Playing Field

Sign up for access to institutional grade tools and insights – free of charge