Stock Trading
Apr. 8, 202414 min read

When’s the Right Time to Buy Stocks?

Tim BohenAvatar
Written by Tim Bohen

Navigating the stock market’s complexities and timing your trades can significantly impact your bottom line. Understanding when to buy stocks isn’t just about catching the lowest price—it’s about making informed decisions that align with both market conditions and your personal trading goals.

These are the major things to look for:

  • Market Trends: Trends can indicate whether the market is moving in an upward (bullish) or downward (bearish) direction. Buying during a consistent uptrend might seem counterintuitive, but catching the momentum early can lead to significant gains.
  • Economic Indicators: These include GDP growth rates, employment data, and inflation figures, which can influence overall market sentiment and stock prices.
  • Technical Indicators: This is what traders look for — when big volume comes in is usually the best indicator for when to buy stocks.
  • Personal Investment Goals: Depending on whether you’re aiming for short-term gains or long-term growth, your strategy for the best time to buy will vary. My approach has always been to match buying times with my financial timeline and risk tolerance.

Let’s get to the content!

Why Timing Matters When Buying Stocks

Timing in the stock market can be the difference between a profitable investment and a significant loss. Through examples from my own trading, I’ve seen how buying at a low during a market correction can lead to outsized gains as the market recovers. Conversely, purchasing stocks at the peak just before a downturn can trap your capital in a losing position for extended periods.

  • Historical Performance During Market Cycles: Buying stocks in early recovery phases post-recession has historically resulted in above-average returns.
  • Impact of Economic Cycles on Stock Performance: Entering the market during a bull run can secure steady gains; however, the timing of entry is crucial to maximize returns and minimize risk.

There are specific patterns you can look for certain days and times — like this pattern on Money Mondays!

What Is Stock Market Seasonality?

Stock market seasonality refers to the tendency of stocks to perform better during certain times of the year. This pattern can be critical for investors looking to optimize their buying and selling strategies.

  • End-of-Year Rallies: Often, stocks see a boost in December, known as the “Santa Claus Rally,” influenced by increased holiday sales and investment portfolio adjustments.
  • Sell in May and Go Away: Historical trends suggest that the market underperforms from May through October, leading some investors to reduce their market exposure during these months.

The Best Time of Day to Buy Stocks

The stock market experiences varying levels of liquidity and volatility throughout the trading day, which can affect buying decisions. Typically, the market’s opening and closing hours see the highest levels of volatility, which can present opportunities for keen traders.

The timing of stock splits can significantly influence stock prices and trading strategies. For example, a company like Tesla announcing a stock split may lead to increased volatility and trading volume, presenting unique buying opportunities. Understanding the intricacies of such events is crucial for timing your trades to maximize returns. For those interested in the specifics of recent high-profile stock splits and how they might affect your trading strategy, consider exploring this detailed guide on Tesla’s stock split.

The Stock Market Open

The opening bell often brings significant volatility due to overnight news and pent-up trading orders. This time can offer good prices due to large movements, but it also requires caution. I’ve leveraged this volatility by placing strategic trades that capitalize on the initial movements, often securing prices that are not available later in the day.

Afternoon Hours

Post-lunch trading tends to be less volatile, with more predictable movement patterns. This period can be ideal for those looking to make trades based on clearer trends, without the noise of opening and closing markets.

The Market Close

Trading at the market close can be advantageous due to increased liquidity and finalizing moves as traders adjust positions before the day ends. This time often sees a summarization of the day’s sentiment, providing clearer signals for those looking to buy.

Our 5 Favorite Times to Buy Stocks

Through years of trading, certain times have consistently provided good opportunities to buy stocks. These are based on patterns observed in market behavior and historical data.

The number of trades you make per day can also impact your trading success. Balancing the frequency of trades with market conditions and your trading strategy is key to optimizing outcomes. Whether you’re a day trader looking to capitalize on small price movements or a more conservative trader focusing on significant trends, understanding the optimal number of trades per day can enhance your trading approach. For insights into balancing trade frequency with market opportunities, check out this resource on optimal trades per day.

The First Two Hours of Trading

The first two hours after the market opens are often the most volatile part of the trading day, offering substantial opportunities for profit. The urgency of orders that build up overnight typically drives this volatility, which, if navigated wisely, can be highly lucrative.

The Last Hour of Trading

The last hour before the market closes is another period of heightened activity. Traders closing their positions create fluctuations that, with the right strategy, can be exploited for beneficial entry points.

The Pre-Market and After-Hours Sessions

Trading outside regular hours can offer opportunities, particularly if news breaks that will likely impact the stock prices the next trading day. However, reduced liquidity and higher volatility mean higher risk, which needs to be managed carefully.

Follow the Data

Data-driven decisions are fundamental in stock trading. Analyzing patterns, trend data, and volume can provide critical insights that inform when to buy stocks, reducing reliance on intuition and conjecture.

When You Are Confident in Your Trade

Confidence in trading comes from thorough research and a solid understanding of the market conditions—not from gut feelings. The best time to trade is when you have a clear rationale and a well-defined strategy, backed by data and analysis.

The Best Day of the Week to Buy Stocks

While it might seem trivial, Mondays and Fridays consistently show different trading behaviors due to institutional activity and trader psychology at the beginning and end of the trading week. 

If I had to pick one, it’s definitely Monday. They don’t call it ‘Money Monday’ for nothing…

What Is the Best Month of the Year to Buy and Sell Stocks?

Seasonal trends in the stock market can also guide investors on the best months to make trades. Historical performance data suggests:

  • September and October: Often cited as challenging months, with historical downturns frequently occurring during this period.
  • November to January: Typically strong months, potentially due to the year-end rally and the January effect, where stocks rebound from tax-loss selling in December.

These seasonal fluctuations provide a framework that, when combined with other market analysis, can enhance timing strategies for buying and selling stocks.

What Does “Buy the Dip” Mean?

“Buy the dip” is a popular strategy among traders, referring to purchasing stocks after a decline in prices, under the assumption that the drop is temporary and an uptick will follow. This approach relies on identifying the right “dip” moments when the price drop seems overdone relative to the stock’s fundamental values. It’s a tactic I’ve employed successfully by combining thorough research with real-time market analysis, ensuring the dips align with broader bullish trends rather than the onset of a downtrend.

I combine it with a “sell the rip” exit strategy for one of my favorite trading patterns!

How Do You Know When to Hold Stocks?

Holding stocks is a strategic decision based on various signals that suggest continued upside or stability in the stock’s value. Some key indicators include:

  • Steady Company Growth: Sustained performance and growth forecasts.
  • Favorable Market Conditions: Positive industry trends and economic indicators supporting the business environment.
  • Dividend Yields: Attractive and sustainable dividend returns that compensate for holding the stock.

Remember, this is for investors only! Traders hold based upon their trading plans.

How Do You Know When to Sell a Stock?

Deciding when to sell a stock is crucial and should be guided by clear, strategic thinking:

  • Investment Goals Achieved: Selling once your financial targets are met can be prudent to lock in gains.
  • Fundamental Deterioration: If the underlying reasons for buying a stock no longer hold due to changes in the company or its market.
  • Better Opportunities: Shifting capital to investments with higher potential returns or lower risk as market conditions evolve.

Key Takeaways

  • Understanding when to buy stocks involves more than just timing the market; it requires integration of market trends, economic indicators, and personal investment goals.
  • Historical data and patterns, such as day of the week or month of the year effects, can inform optimal buying and selling times.
  • Decisions on when to hold or sell stocks should align with your trading or investment strategy and be responsive to changing market conditions and personal financial goals.

There are a ton of ways to build day trading careers… But all of them start with the basics.

Before you even think about becoming profitable, you’ll need to build a solid foundation. That’s what I help my students do every day — scanning the market, outlining trading plans, and answering any questions that come up.

You can check out the NO-COST webinar here for a closer look at how profitable traders go about preparing for the trading day!

What time of the day do you like to trade most? Write “I won’t trade without a plan” in the comments if my advice has taken hold!

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I Buy Stocks at Night?

Buying stocks at night, during after-hours trading sessions, offers opportunities but comes with heightened risks such as lower liquidity and greater volatility. This time might suit traders who can manage these risks and have strategies adapted for less conventional trading hours.

What Are the Worst Months for the Stock Market?

Historically, September and October have been challenging for the stock market, often experiencing significant volatility and declines. Understanding these patterns can help in planning your investment strategy to either safeguard assets or capitalize on potential buying opportunities.

When Is the Worst Time to Buy Stocks?

The worst time to buy stocks generally coincides with market peaks, just before significant downturns. These times often follow extended periods of high prices and high investor optimism, which might not be supported by underlying economic fundamentals or company performance.

What Time of Day Are Stocks Cheaper?

Stock prices can fluctuate significantly during the day, often finding lower levels immediately after the market opens due to overnight news and morning volatility. These moments might offer cheaper buying opportunities, especially for day traders looking to capitalize on quick moves.

What Are the Best Times to Buy ETFs and Shares?

The best times to buy ETFs and shares often depend on market conditions and the specific investment strategy of the individual. Historically, purchasing during market dips when prices are lower can represent a good opportunity to gain value as markets rebound. Additionally, paying attention to the closing bell times can also be beneficial, as prices may fluctuate due to the settlement of trades at the end of a trading day. Investors should gather comprehensive information and consider various factors such as economic indicators and company performance before making purchases.

How Do Credit Cards and Loans Influence Stock Investment Timing?

Using credit cards and loans to fund stock investments can provide the necessary capital to take advantage of investment opportunities, especially in ETFs and shares. However, the cost of borrowing and potential financial risks associated with accumulating debt must be carefully managed. Investors should use credit judiciously, considering the long-term impact of interest payments and the risk of potential losses. Financial discipline and a clear understanding of one’s investment course can help mitigate these risks.

Why Is It Important to Consider Historical Data and Security in Investing?

Considering historical data provides evidence-based insights that can guide future investment decisions, particularly in volatile markets like crypto and real estate. Understanding the history and trends of specific securities helps investors identify patterns and potential investment opportunities. Additionally, ensuring security in transactions and investments protects against fraud and financial loss. Brokers and investment platforms must offer robust security measures to safeguard investor assets.

Can Market Rules and Financial Courses Help Identify Investment Opportunities?

Market rules, such as those governing the timing of trades around the closing bell or specific regulatory requirements, can create predictable patterns and opportunities for astute investors. Engaging in a finance course can also equip investors with the knowledge to better understand these patterns and the overall financial landscape, thereby improving their ability to spot opportunities and make informed decisions. By understanding and adhering to these rules, investors can optimize their investment strategies and potentially increase their returns.

How Do Dividends Influence Investment Decisions for People and Companies?

Dividends are a critical factor for people investing in funds and company shares, as they represent a regular income stream from their investments. Companies that consistently pay dividends can attract more investors, stabilizing their share price and demonstrating financial health. Conversely, individuals with financial obligations such as student loans might prioritize dividend-paying stocks to generate additional income to help manage their debt. Understanding how dividends impact financial planning and investment strategy can guide both individuals and others looking to maximize their investment returns.