Warren Buffett’s latest mystery buy has everyone guessing. Berkshire Hathaway’s Q2 13-F hits after today’s close, and the filings strongly suggest a $4.8–$5 billion position built under confidential treatment in the “Commercial, industrial & other” bucket.
I’m not playing guess-the-ticker into the bell. I’m mapping the sector and lining up sympathy trades that often pay just as well as the headline reveal.
If you want to know what I’m looking for — check out my free webinar here!
What I’m Watching Into the Filing
The category math pushes us toward industrials. If Berkshire names a leader, the move can ripple through the complex. My first reads:
- Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT) — classic Berkshire-style compounding machine with backlog leverage to infrastructure and data-center buildouts.
Caterpillar ranked high on my Trump tariff watchlist too!
- Deere & Company (NYSE: DE) — high-quality franchise that just trimmed guidance and flagged tariff costs; Buffett has a history of buying great businesses during near-term noise.
Deere has been a leader in the industrial sector for a loooong time…
- United Parcel Service (NYSE: UPS) — durable logistics moat, pricing power, leverage to both consumer and industrial volumes.
- Honeywell International (NASDAQ: HON) — multi-industrial exposure to automation, aerospace, and building tech; breakup chatter adds optionality.
The broader cohort I’m scanning for confirmation and follow-through includes GE Aerospace (NYSE: GE), RTX Corporation (NYSE: RTX), Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT), Parker-Hannifin (NYSE: PH), Union Pacific (NYSE: UNP), and Waste Management (NYSE: WM).
How Sympathy Flows Tend to Work
This isn’t theoretical.
When Berkshire finally revealed Chubb, the stock popped and quality insurers came along for the ride. Circle’s hot IPO pulled crypto infrastructure higher. Meta and Microsoft’s AI capex hikes flowed into semis and data-center names.
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Same playbook here: bellwether pops, sector rotates, sympathy laggards offer cleaner entries with defined risk.
Sympathy Setups to Watch if Industrials Catch a Bid
I’m stalking liquid names with fresh volume and clear technical pivots. If the reveal skews heavy equipment (Caterpillar/Deere), logistics (UPS), or multi-industrial (Honeywell), these lanes can light up:
- Power & motion suppliers: Parker-Hannifin (NYSE: PH) and Eaton (NYSE: ETN).
- Aggregates and materials leveraged to project starts: Vulcan Materials (NYSE: VMC), Martin Marietta Materials (NYSE: MLM).
- Transports for a UPS-style read-through: Union Pacific (NYSE: UNP), CSX (NASDAQ: CSX).
- For broad participation or confirmation: Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSEARCA: XLI) often captures the sector’s sympathy bid on whale buys or reveals.
How I’ll Trade the Reveal
I’ll let tonight’s filing and tomorrow’s first 15–30 minutes tell me who’s in charge. I prefer continuation or first-pullback entries over chasing the initial spike. Break → hold → volume is the sequence. If the leader gets crowded, I’ll lean into second-order names (suppliers/customers/peers) with better risk/reward. Respect liquidity and spreads; 13-F reaction can be gappy, so size accordingly.
If buying these stocks outright is too pricey for your account, there’s another “option.”
Small-account traders can trade higher-priced stocks with options.
I don’t trade options — I leave it to pros like tech entrepreneur and trader Ben Sturgill. His smart-money webinars are the product of more than 2 decades of market experience and a unique technology, and they’re well worth checking out.
The Bigger Picture
Whether Berkshire reveals Caterpillar, Deere, United Parcel Service, Honeywell — or keeps it under wraps a little longer — the opportunity is bigger than one ticker. Infrastructure, data centers, defense, and reshoring keep industrial demand relevant into 2026. I’m treating this as a sector event, trading the reaction with a plan and letting the tape confirm the winners.
Look for sympathy plays: It’s not just about the big names. When sector momentum hits, related names — especially liquid, lower-float runners with news — often follow. Those are prime setups for day trades when you have volume, a catalyst, and a stop.
If you want to know what else I’m looking for — check out my free webinar here!
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