Mar. 13, 2025 at 12:05 PM ET10 min read

AG Stock Surge: Investing Opportunity or Next Big Risk?

Tim BohenAvatar
Written by Tim Bohen
Reviewed by Ben Sturgill Fact-checked by Ellis Hobbs

Despite rallying on Thursday with a 7.98 percent increase, First Majestic Silver Corp. (Canada) faces pressures from market sentiment influenced by geopolitical tensions and fluctuating silver prices.

Key Updates on First Majestic Silver Corp.

  • National Bank has increased First Majestic’s price target from C$10.25 to C$10.75 while keeping a Sector Perform rating.
  • First Majestic’s Q4 revenue hit $172.3M, outpacing the FactSet estimate of $158.8M.
  • The company reported an adjusted Q4 earnings per share of $0.03, matching predictions and improving from a previous year loss of $0.03. This was driven by a revenue boost from $136.9M to $172.3M despite a 14% dip in production.
  • Adjusted EBITDA rose sharply from $37M to $64.8M within the same quarter, leading to a 5% stock uptick.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 12:05:06 EST: On Thursday, March 13, 2025 First Majestic Silver Corp. (Canada) stock [NYSE: AG] is trending up by 7.98%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

Overview of First Majestic Silver Corp.’s Financial Performance

When analyzing stock market trends, it’s crucial for traders to focus on objective data rather than personal projections or hopes. As Tim Bohen, lead trainer with StocksToTrade says, “I focus on what a stock is doing, not what I want it to do. Let the stock prove itself before you make a move.” This philosophy encourages traders to rely on actual performance indicators rather than preconceived notions, allowing the market to guide their decisions.

First Majestic Silver Corp., known by its ticker symbol AG, has recently released notable financial results for the fourth quarter. The company reported a quarterly revenue of $172.3M, significantly exceeding the expected $158.8M, reflecting a robust financial turn amid challenging conditions. This surge in revenue comes despite a notable 14% drop in production to 5.7 million silver equivalent ounces, highlighting the effect of increased average realized silver prices, which helped offset the decline in output.

Revenue growth appeared substantial when compared to the $136.9M reported in the same quarter of the previous year, showcasing an impressive ability to leverage market conditions to its favor. While adjusted earnings per share stood at $0.03, a significant improvement compared to a loss of $0.03 in the same period last year, this marks a commendable turnaround. Such a favorable earnings report has inevitably caught the stock market’s eye – leading to the 5% increase in stock price observed following the news.

Moreover, First Majestic recorded a notable growth in its adjusted EBITDA which soared from $37M to $64.8M in just one quarter. Despite a 14% decline in production to 5.7M silver equivalent ounces, the company’s robust performance in revenue and profits has raised the eyebrows of both analysts and investors. Among them, the National Bank responded by boosting First Majestic’s price target from C$10.25 to C$10.75, underpinning their confidence in the company’s current performance and possible future trajectory.

More Breaking News

Several other factors contributed to this stock uptick. The earnings report painted a vivid picture of resilience: higher silver prices played a key role in the company’s profit improvement, even amid production headwinds. The market reacted positively, causing shares to rise by 5% as investors interpreted the strong financial performance favorably. Interestingly, despite the production slip, the company demonstrated a significant advance in adjusted EBITDA, underscoring efficient management practices in optimizing the bottom line despite facing challenges.

A Close Look at Revenues and Key Ratios

In its fourth-quarter earnings report for 2024, First Majestic showed encouraging trends and increased investor confidence. From the low of $6.14 in the previous day’s close, the price climbed to close at $6.635 on Feb 20, 2025, indicating mounting interest. This surged interest pushed the stock to gain a notable 5% on the back of their earnings announcement. How did it manage to pull this off? The company reported total quarterly revenue reaching $172.3M, up from $136.9M last year—a stark indicator of improved performance that is hard for investors to ignore.

Looking at its key ratios, First Majestic demonstrates a healthy current ratio standing at 2.6, indicating a solid capability to tackle current liabilities with its assets. However, the pretax profit margin is sitting at a negative position at -8.6%, suggesting that there still needs to be a focused effort toward driving margins to profitability.

What’s markedly positive is their augmented EBITDA, which soared from $37M to $64.8M in just a single quarter. This indicates that the company systematically improved its core operating metrics. A year-on-year comparison of their Q4 adjusted earnings reveals a shift from a loss of $0.03 per share to a profit of $0.03, which paints an improved financial picture.

Thus, despite some downturns such as a noticeable 14% decline in production, First Majestic Silver capitalized on rising silver prices to enhance its revenue. It is the increase in these average realized silver prices that stands out as a vital factor in this rebound. As result, First Majestic achieved a profit margin in contrast to last year’s dips, despite an overall total profit margin of -18.16%.

Analyzing Market Reactions and Implications

An assessment of the latest news articles reveals a dominant sentiment of improvement and optimism around First Majestic’s performance. For instance, the National Bank’s decision to slightly raise the price target on First Majestic, from C$10.25 to C$10.75, manifests promising investor sentiment and supports the assertion that the company’s current valuation is on an upward swing—creating an attractive opportunity for potential investors. The combination of increased price targets and stabilized earnings positions the company favorably in the market landscape.

First Majestic’s reporting of an increase in Q4 revenues to $172.3M enhances confidence. Their success in staying in line with its earnings guidance has turned analysts to view the $0.03 earnings per share (EPS) figure positively. When compared to the previous year’s performance, which saw a loss of $0.03 per share, First Majestic’s financial turnaround aligns with National Bank’s positive rating. That displays their trust in First Majestic’s growth trajectory, despite the output reduction. Such results resonate with financial experts in the field, who view this as an encouraging signal.

In its financial reports, First Majestic showed its ability to service current liabilities, with a current ratio of 2.6 and strong growth in adjusted EBITDA. This impressive journey from a steep 14% drop in silver production to recording a significant boost in revenue captures the attention of investors and market analysts alike.

Despite the 14% production fall, the company reported an upward trajectory in its earnings — a remarkable turnaround. Moreover, its gross margin of 16.4% shows resilience, especially in today’s market conditions. The gross margin highlights that even with pressures on production, First Majestic is successfully able to leverage favorable silver market pricing to its advantage, achieving a healthy upswing to a $172.3M revenue.

Looking at the five-minute chart data, the stock exhibited buoyant movement through the trading session, starting the day at $6.16 and rising to a peak of $6.64 by midday. The stock then seesawed until closing at $6.635, capping off a session that keeps investors buzzing with curiosity.

A factor possibly playing into investor sentiment today is the near-doubling of the company’s EBITDA, a testament to their operational efficiency despite lower production figures. Analysts are now abuzz with projections for First Majestic, their primary focus being on its ability to maintain momentum amidst various market pressures.

Eyeing the Future: Boom or Bubble?

First Majestic Silver’s stock, symbolized by AG, appears to be riding a wave of trader enthusiasm as evidenced by the 5% price increase following their recent earnings report. But is this spike truly indicative of a sustained upward trend or an inflationary bubble waiting to burst?

The company’s improved earnings, with a shift from a deficit-driven position to generating profits, has indeed raised optimism. With a significant rise in revenue and EBITDA figures despite reduced production, the financial sheets seem promising. However, examining key financial ratios highlights that the company still runs a high leverage ratio of 1.5 and a disconcerting negative profit margin of -18.16.

Market volatility, seen through fluctuating prices recorded from 04:00 to 12:02 on Mar 13, 2025, implies instability, with prices hitting a high of $6.64 and descending to a low of $6.16. Despite this, the closing price at $6.635 suggests bullish sentiment driven by the positive earnings report. While the company has shown impressive signs of revenue growth during Q4, surpassing estimates significantly, the reality of a 14% decline in production in terms of silver equivalent ounces looms over its future performance. Now is an opportune time for a deep dive; prospective traders should weigh these metrics carefully.

As Tim Bohen, lead trainer with StocksToTrade says, “Time and experience have taught me that missed opportunities are part of the game. There’s always another setup around the corner.” This perspective is vital for traders eyeing First Majestic; the recent boost in stock price, primarily driven by favorable earnings and a narrow improvement in profit margins, creates an optimistic market atmosphere. However, the company’s profitability ratios, like a profit margin of -18.16%, signal caution. The contrasting market movement — a consistent climb in stock prices interspersed with moderate dips — suggests an uneven yet hopeful path forward.

Given First Majestic’s strong EBITDA growth to $64.8M, the evolving market dynamics, and a push in silver prices, there is an intriguing intersection between a potential stock rise and underlying uncertainties regarding profitability. This raises an engaging question: is this newfound momentum of First Majestic a testament to its enduring spirit, or are traders wading into a precarious situation?

In summary, First Majestic Silver, despite grappling with production declines and high leverage, has surprised the market with impressive revenue growth and considerably improved earnings. The price action suggests enthusiastic trader interest, yet the underlying volatility invites cautious optimism and a watchful eye on sustained profitability and market conditions.

The company has a notable gross margin of 16.4, indicating efficiency in production, but its negative profit margin and high price-to-cash-flow ratio of 5.7 underscore potential vulnerabilities. As we move ahead, the stock’s future performance will likely hinge on how effectively the company can manage its resources amidst changing silver prices and broader market conditions. The anticipation of the ex-dividend date on Feb 28, 2025, could serve as a crucial element adding to the stock’s current attraction.

This is stock news, not investment advice. StocksToTrade News delivers real-time stock market updates tailored to highlight the key catalysts driving short-term price movements. Our coverage is designed for active traders and investors who thrive in fast-moving markets, with a focus on volatile sectors like penny stocks, AI stocks, Robinhood stocks and other momentum plays. From earnings reports and FDA approvals to mergers, new contracts, and unusual trading volume, we break down the events that can spark significant price action.

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