Mar. 20, 2025 at 2:02 PM ET6 min read

Darden Restaurants: Time to Buy or Wait?

Tim BohenAvatar
Written by Tim Bohen
Reviewed by Ben Sturgill Fact-checked by Ellis Hobbs

Darden Restaurants Inc.’s stock movement is significantly influenced by its successful quarterly earnings report and optimistic future outlook. On Thursday, Darden Restaurants Inc.’s stocks have been trading up by 4.76 percent.

Key Developments Impacting Darden

  • Analysts have been optimistic about Darden’s shares, with Truist analyst suggesting a price target raise to $212 driven by a promising outlook despite earnings concerns. Analysts maintain a buy rating on expectations of a continued stock performance.

Candlestick Chart

Live Update At 14:02:19 EST: On Thursday, March 20, 2025 Darden Restaurants Inc. stock [NYSE: DRI] is trending up by 4.76%! Discover the key drivers behind this movement as well as our expert analysis in the detailed breakdown below.

  • UBS highlights growth at Olive Garden and LongHorn Steakhouse, forecasting a rise in fiscal Q3 blended same-store sales. Delivery expansion and menu innovations are seen as positives ahead of fiscal Q4.

  • Darden’s upcoming fiscal Q3 earnings reveal a consensus expectation of $2.79 per share. Analysts are split over whether these earnings will be met or missed.

  • Deutsche Bank envisions potential positives from partnerships like the one with Uber and believes fiscal year earnings guidance will remain static despite any quarterly hiccups.

  • Baird and Deutsche Bank align on a roughly $200 average price target, with contrasting stock ratings—ranging from Neutral to Buy.

Darden Restaurants’ Financial Review

In the world of trading, success doesn’t come from luck but rather from understanding and recognizing patterns. As Tim Bohen, lead trainer with StocksToTrade says, “There’s a pattern in everything; you just have to stick around long enough to see it.” Many newcomers enter the market expecting quick profits, overlooking the importance of patience and analysis. By studying historical data and market trends, traders can begin to see recurring patterns in stock movements. This insight allows them to make informed decisions based on probable outcomes, rather than relying on guesswork. Consistent observation and learning from past trades are crucial to mastering the art of trading.

Let’s dive into Darden’s latest financial performance to see how these analyst reports match up with reality. A striking observation from Darden’s recent earnings is that the company experiences a mix of solid growth metrics alongside some headwinds. Over a recent fiscal quarter, Darden reported $11.39 billion in revenue, with a steady gross margin at 21.4%. Balancing short-term challenges, perhaps?

Here’s why the financials merit a deeper look: Darden has a thick ebitda margin standing at 12.1%. This means that Darden is not just bringing in revenue, but it’s also capturing a healthy chunk as operating cash. And how about the pre-tax profit margin at 8.5%? While not extraordinary, it shows room for improvement if strategic changes materialize.

Continued investment in business operations, pegged at a hefty $613.70M, indicates Darden’s aim to bolster market positioning. The cash flow scenario outlines robust activity with operating cash flow reaching almost $389M. However, strikingly, it maintains a current ratio of just 0.4, reflecting liquidity challenges typical of restaurant companies managing tight working capital cycles.

Navigating the balance sheet, there’s a total liabilities figure clocking in at $10.45B against equity holdings from shareholders marking $2.07B. Essentially, Darden’s asset leverage provides a dual-edged sword—boosting impacts for shareholders if earnings grow, but with risk from interest obligations in high-leverage conditions—though it has cash to play with, ending the reported period at $244.7M in cash.

More Breaking News

From the trading side perspective, the recent intraday trades on Mar 25, 2025, indicate mixed sentiments, with Darden’s stock moving between narrow high and low ranges within a trading day. The financial market appears to be in a wait-and-see mode.

Market Responses: From Predictions to Reality

The anticipation surrounding Darden’s imminent fiscal Q3 earnings is near fever-pitch. On one end, analysts have dialed up their price targets. Truist and Deutsche Bank, with notable optimism, collectively upped their sails with over $12 more on the top side for price targets.

This dramatic uplift, however, faces the counterbalance of skepticism surrounding the upcoming earnings release. With UBS marking a forecasted increase in Olive Garden’s performance, there’s a granule of bullishness. Still, Oppenheimer dials back expectations, warning that consensus earnings might be slightly out of reach, calling into question whether such stock target increments are justifiable.

Meanwhile, investors continue eyeing Darden’s strategic initiatives with nuanced concern: the potentially game-changing Uber delivery partnership does possess the power to realign for next quarter’s tailwinds. But the heavy burden of business reinvestment poses its risks.

Macro headwinds, notably the restrained spending behavior on dining experiences from lower-income demographics, continue to create hurdles—a truth reflected in Darden price fluctuations.

Conclusion: Darden’s Path Forward

Where does Darden stand as a potential trading opportunity? Analysts generally espouse a positive view, yet some divergence stirs caution given mixed earnings sentiment. As Tim Bohen, lead trainer with StocksToTrade says, “A good trade setup checks all the boxes—volume, trend, catalyst. Don’t trade if you’re missing pieces of the puzzle.” As Darden readies to roll out Q3 results and navigates industry clouds, its performance cycle presents both a chance and a challenge.

In a market thrilled with future innovations, yet grounded in financial conservatism, whether traders leverage Darden’s prospects depends on their risk appetite against predicted growth trajectories. All eyes will remain fixed on earnings announcements and projected fiscal paths that Darden lies ahead, with market responses weaving their unfolding story.

This is stock news, not investment advice. StocksToTrade News delivers real-time stock market updates tailored to highlight the key catalysts driving short-term price movements. Our coverage is designed for active traders and investors who thrive in fast-moving markets, with a focus on volatile sectors like penny stocks, AI stocks, Robinhood stocks and other momentum plays. From earnings reports and FDA approvals to mergers, new contracts, and unusual trading volume, we break down the events that can spark significant price action.

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