Trading News
Jan. 4, 20244 min read

Could PTON be a merger target?

Tim BohenAvatar
Written by Tim Bohen

Peloton Interactive, Inc. (NASDAQ: PTON) announced a partnership with TikTok yesterday… 

And while it might sound like just another fluffy press release by an almost penny stock company — I think it could have legs… 

Maybe not the news, but the company in general.

It has some things going for it. And it might offer a strategy you want to try… 

Here’s my take on why I think PTON would make a great merger target, how you could trade it if it was, and what I think about a potential play right now…

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Could PTON Be a Merger Target?

I’ve never liked this strategy personally, but it doesn’t mean it’s not valid… 

There are a million ways to trade in the market, and this is one of them… 

In my morning webinar yesterday I explained it to members … the idea behind a takeover arbitrage.  

It involves buying shares of two companies that are set to merge. 

Now, PTON doesn’t have merger news yet … But I’m getting to why I think it’d be a good target… 

In my opinion, PTON is the number one takeover arbitrage stock of 2024.

The company is run terribly — it might be run by the dumbest people in business.

But they have an amazing product. 

To compare PTON to a real estate deal — it’s like the most terrible, run-down fixer-upper in the hottest, best neighborhood in the country. 

 

Those deals don’t come around very often, so you have to be patient

But think about if Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL), Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL), or Meta Platforms, Inc. (NASDAQ: META) bought the company… 

And integrated workouts with Apple watch, phones, social media, or even Meta’s VR headsets. 

These big companies have a ton of cash — buying PTON would be like $20 to you and me. 

And it might not be that far off…

Right now I’m speculating … But I do have a Peloton bike and I love it.

But we have to wait for some merger news for that play. 

Until then, here’s what I think about a PTON trade after the TikTok news… 

The stock rejected right around the Oracle resistance level of $6.32… 

There’s also resistance on the daily chart around $6.50 to $6.60. 

So I would wait to enter this stock on a multi-month breakout over those levels. From there it could retest the recent highs around $10. 

PTON chart: 6-month, daily candle — courtesy of StocksToTrade.com

It’s a beaten-down chart so it has the potential to run if volume keeps up and shorts get squeezed. 

But don’t forget about all the low-float squeezers we’re seeing right now. 

Stay on top of all the hot plays, the pattern to trade them, and the crucial tools every trader needs — it’s all covered in our free training sessions. 

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Have a great day everyone. See you back here tomorrow. 

Tim Bohen

Lead Trainer, StocksToTrade