BigBear AI Stock: Comprehensive Analysis, Price Prediction, and Forecast

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) is an artificial intelligence software and services company specializing in data-driven decision-making tools. Its core business focuses on government contracts, defense systems, and commercial clients seeking predictive analytics, robotics integration, and AI-powered platforms. The company competes in the same sector as SoundHound and Palantir, yet is more narrowly focused on advisory solutions, risk management, and national security.

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Understanding stock forecasts for BigBear.ai is important because the company’s performance is tied to both government spending and market trends around AI stocks. BigBear.ai has seen periods where its shares gained attention as a speculative trade, but recent financials show challenges in revenue growth and earnings.

Read this article because it gives you the tools to understand BigBear.ai stock — covering price history, forecasts, and trading signals that can help you decide whether to buy, sell, or avoid the ticker altogether.

I’ll answer the following questions:

• What is the BigBear.ai stock symbol and ticker?
• What is BigBear.ai’s current stock price?
• How has BigBear.ai stock performed over time?
• What is the BigBear.ai stock price prediction for 2030?
• What is the forecast for BigBear.ai stock over the next 5–10 years?
• Is BigBear.ai stock considered a buy or sell right now?
• Is BigBear.ai influenced by meme stock trading or social media hype?
• What recent news is driving BigBear.ai’s stock price in 2025?

Let’s get to the content!

BigBear.ai (BBAI) Stock Symbol and Ticker

BigBear.ai trades under the ticker symbol BBAI on the Nasdaq stock exchange. This listing allows investors to buy and sell shares on most trading platforms alongside other AI and technology companies. Being a smaller-cap company, BBAI is subject to volatility, which is common among AI stocks in their early growth stages.

The company’s equity has attracted speculative trading interest as investors seek opportunities in artificial intelligence. Market data shows that BBAI often experiences sharp price moves tied to earnings reports, contracts, or news on government funding. As I teach, knowing the ticker and how a stock trades is the first step in evaluating risk and reward potential.

BigBear.ai Stock Price and Performance

BigBear.ai’s stock price behavior reflects both company performance and how investors perceive its brand in the AI sector. Shares often react quickly to financial insights provided in quarterly filings, with recent results showing weaker performance metrics compared to expectations. 

Read more: BigBear.ai Stock Plunge Raises Questions

Unlike competitors such as Palladyne AI Corp, BigBear has not consistently demonstrated growth in revenue, but it has potential for long-term relevance if its products and services align with customer needs in defense and commercial markets.

The business is involved in advisory solutions and data privacy services, appealing to clients seeking advanced capabilities in AI-driven analytics. When I teach about stock evaluation, I always remind traders that market performance often looks beyond headlines. Company filings, financial services contracts, and how a company is recognized for its offerings matter as much as the immediate trading volume. BigBear.ai has seen growth in certain contracts, but volatility shows that performance depends on execution and delivery.

Current Stock Price

As of August 18, 2025, BigBear.ai stock closed at $5.85, up more than 42% year-to-date. The chart shows that shares peaked above $10 in March before retreating toward the $2–$3 range in May. Since then, the price has climbed steadily, stabilizing in the mid-$5 range. This movement provides insights into how speculative AI stocks can fluctuate when sentiment shifts. Market volume remains elevated compared to prior years, which signals that both institutional investors and retail traders continue to monitor the company closely.

BigBear.ai competes with other AI firms in defense, drones, and data systems, but it stands out because its platform is a leading option in decision intelligence for government customers. While its financials remain weak, its technology offers potential to deliver long-term growth if adoption expands beyond defense into commercial industries. From my trading experience, I remind students that analyzing current price behavior is not just about the number on the screen, but about understanding what those moves say about investor conviction.

BigBear.ai Stock Price History

Since its 2021 SPAC merger, BBAI has seen volatility typical of smaller AI companies. Shares surged above $16 at one point in early 2022 when AI stocks were gaining attention across social media, but later fell into penny stock territory under $2. The stock then recovered in 2023–2024 as defense contracts increased backlog.

Traders’ perspective: Can BigBear.ai Bounce Back from Latest Q2 Setback? 

Year-to-date 2025, BBAI stock is still up more than 30% despite its Q2 drop. This shows that while it is affected by setbacks, the stock also responds strongly when investor sentiment shifts toward AI sector growth. The history illustrates why performance analysis and timing matter in building an investment strategy.

BigBear.ai Stock Chart Analysis

Chart analysis shows BigBear.ai forming wide trading ranges with heavy spikes in trading volume around earnings dates. The stock often trends upward ahead of government contract announcements but sells off quickly on revenue delays. BBAI is subject to volatility, which makes risk management a priority when trading.

Technical traders note resistance near $6 and support levels around $4. These zones can provide insights into short-term price action. As I stress in teaching chart patterns, stocks that fluctuate daily require patience and discipline. For BBAI, chart trends reflect both investor excitement over AI technology and caution over weak financial performance.

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BigBear.ai (BBAI) Stock Prediction and Forecast

Forecasting BBAI’s future requires considering its role in shaping the future of artificial intelligence solutions for government and enterprise clients. The company offers opportunities in robotics, UAV systems, and predictive analytics that may deliver long-term growth if demand accelerates. However, its financial services support and reliance on defense contracts mean it is affected by changes in federal budgets. Unlike Palladyne AI Corp, which markets itself as a leading option in commercial AI applications, BigBear.ai remains heavily tied to public sector spending.

The stock is anticipated to remain subject to volatility, influenced by both financial insights from analysts and content shared across news articles and videos. From my trading experience, I teach that forecasts are guides, not guarantees. A stock that has a track record of setbacks can still rebound if it performs well in areas where the industry is experiencing trends in adoption. Investors must weigh both company performance and broader sector information before making long-range predictions.

BigBear.ai Stock Price Prediction for 2030

Forecasting BBAI stock for 2030 depends heavily on its ability to secure long-term contracts and diversify beyond federal clients. Analysts project that if the company executes its growth strategy, shares could rise to $15–$20, giving it a market cap that appeals to institutional investors. However, if revenue declines continue, the stock could remain under $5.

The AI industry is expected to expand through robotics, machine learning, and defense applications. BigBear.ai’s involvement in security, UAVs, and cobots positions it well, but execution risk is high. Investors seeking long-term growth should weigh these projections as speculative, understanding that AI companies often show potential but face challenges in scaling profitability.

BigBear.ai Stock Forecast for the Next 5–10 Years

Over the next 5–10 years, BBAI’s forecast suggests mixed outcomes. If the company capitalizes on Department of Homeland Security programs and international contracts like its recent UAE deal, its revenue could stabilize and return to growth. Analysts expect revenue to range between $125M–$200M annually depending on contract flow.

For traders, this means the stock is anticipated to perform well during contract wins but is subject to sharp drawdowns when deals stall. As I emphasize in trading principles, long-term forecasts are only useful if paired with short-term strategy and strong risk management. BBAI holds strong value in the AI defense sector, but its volatility cannot be ignored.

Is BigBear AI a Good Stock to Buy?

Whether BigBear.ai is a good stock to buy depends on how investors view its growth strategy and long-term capabilities. The company is recognized for its involvement in security and defense solutions, which appeals to investors seeking exposure to AI-driven systems. Its brand may not have the same visibility as larger firms, but its products and business advisory services provide insights into government contracting demand. Compared to Palladyne AI Corp, which competes more directly in commercial markets, BigBear is shaping the future of applied defense technology.

In trading education, I stress that investment advice must be grounded in risk awareness. BigBear offers opportunities in a growing sector but is subject to volatility because its company performance has not always matched investor expectations. Guides, articles, and recommendations may present it as a buy, but traders should always study financial performance data, evaluate content critically, and apply portfolio management principles before committing capital.

Is BigBear AI Stock a Buy or Sell?

Analysts remain split. BBAI has two Buy ratings and two Hold ratings, with no Sell calls, leading to a consensus “Moderate Buy.” The average target suggests slight downside, which signals caution despite optimism for 2026 and beyond. Investors should recognize that the company is impacted by contract delays and weak financials but also holds opportunities in AI-driven defense services.

From a trading perspective, BBAI appeals to investors seeking speculative growth. It is not a strong buy for conservative portfolios, but it offers opportunities in high-risk setups. As I teach, whether to buy or sell depends on your strategy. If your portfolio management approach tolerates volatility, BBAI may fit. If not, waiting for clearer signs of growth is smarter.

Big Bear AI Stock Analysis: Is It a Meme Stock?

BigBear.ai has experienced meme stock behavior, particularly during 2022 and early 2023 when Reddit traders pushed up shares based on hype. Social media posts, content, and videos highlighted its potential in AI and defense, fueling speculation. The stock saw abnormal trading volume and price moves disconnected from company fundamentals.

While BigBear.ai is recognized for its government-focused AI solutions, its status as a meme stock is fading. Current market data shows trading is more influenced by earnings, contracts, and sector trends rather than retail-driven hype. Still, the company is subject to volatility when social media chatter spikes. For investors, this means separating hype from analysis is necessary to manage risk.

BigBear.ai Stock News and Updates

Recent news around BigBear.ai highlights how company performance is impacted by weaker filings and lowered revenue guidance. While the business has potential for growth in international markets, investors remain cautious. Articles and videos across financial media often contrast BigBear with Palladyne AI Corp, noting differences in market strategy and client focus. Both firms are involved in artificial intelligence, but BigBear is more closely tied to U.S. defense and data privacy initiatives.

When I teach traders how to process information, I emphasize filtering content from multiple sources and seeking financial insights over hype. News guides often highlight short-term setbacks, but performance metrics such as backlog growth or advisory contracts provide a more balanced outlook. BigBear.ai has seen growth in its customer base abroad, which could deliver long-term growth if executed well. Still, it remains affected by delays in federal budgets and shifting demand in AI-driven products and solutions.

What Happened to BigBear.ai Stock Recently?

In August 2025, BigBear.ai reported disappointing Q2 results. Revenue fell 18% year-over-year to $32.5M, missing analyst estimates by a wide margin. Loss per share came in at $0.71 versus expectations of $0.06. The company also cut its full-year revenue forecast to $125M–$140M from $160M–$180M.

These results sent shares down more than 20% in after-hours trading. The decline highlighted challenges with U.S. Army contracts and government efficiency programs that impacted data and systems modernization efforts. Despite the setback, CEO Kevin McAleenan expressed optimism over new opportunities tied to federal funding and international expansion. Traders should recognize that while financial performance is weak, backlog growth and cash reserves provide some stability.

BigBear AI Stock Price Target and Analysis

Current analyst ratings place the BBAI price target around $5.88. This figure implies a slight decline from current levels, showing muted expectations. Some firms, like Cantor Fitzgerald, raised targets to $6 based on backlog strength, while others cut revenue forecasts sharply. The mixed outlook reflects uncertainty in near-term financial performance.

For investors, price targets provide insights into market sentiment but should not replace independent analysis. A target may forecast growth, but actual returns depend on execution and contract flow. As I teach, price targets are guides, not guarantees. Traders must combine analyst insights with their own research into market performance, valuation, and stock chart analysis.

Key Takeaways

BigBear.ai is an AI stock that appeals to investors seeking exposure to defense, government, and artificial intelligence solutions. Shares have seen growth in past years but are currently subject to volatility after weak Q2 earnings and lowered guidance. Analysts remain cautious, with limited upside projected in the near term.

The company is involved in security, robotics, and data services, giving it opportunities in long-term growth if contracts stabilize. However, it is affected by government spending cuts and slower-than-expected revenue. Investors should approach BBAI as a speculative trade rather than a stable long-term hold.

Risk management is critical. BBAI offers opportunities in the AI sector but is impacted by volatility, weaker financial performance, and contract uncertainty.

Frequently Asked Questions

Does BigBear.ai pay dividends?

No, BigBear.ai does not pay dividends. The company reinvests capital into its AI software, services, and technology development.

Is BigBear.ai profitable?

No. As of 2025, BigBear.ai reports net losses and negative earnings per share. Revenue growth has slowed, and profitability remains uncertain.

What is driving BigBear.ai’s stock price in 2025?

Stock price is driven by government contract performance, revenue trends, AI sector growth, and speculative trading volume. Recent earnings misses have pressured shares.

What recent news could impact BigBear.ai’s stock performance?

Q2 2025 earnings and lowered revenue guidance caused a sharp selloff. However, backlog growth, federal funding bills, and international contracts may support future performance.

Is BigBear.ai stock a good long-term investment?

It is a high-risk investment. BigBear.ai has potential for growth in AI defense solutions, but it faces challenges in financial performance and market execution.